搜索结果: 1-15 共查到“固体地球物理学 Forecasting”相关记录19条 . 查询时间(0.781 秒)
Geoscientists develop technology to improve forecasting of earthquakes,tsunamis（图）
Geoscientists technology improve forecasting earthquakes,tsunamis
2019/12/6
With funding from NSF, geoscientists at the University of South Florida have successfully developed and tested a new high-tech shallow water buoy that can detect the small movements and changes in the...
Forecasting geomagnetic activity three hours in advance for ionospheric applications
Geomagnetic activity ionospheric disturbance ferecasting
2015/9/28
An attempt at forecasting the magnetic activity index three hours in advance is presented. This approach is based on a suitable treatment of time-weighted accumulations of the three-hourly magnetic in...
Real time monitoring for nowcasting and forecasting ionospheric space weatherin Europe with ground digisondes
ionosphere ionospheric nowcasting ionospheric forecasting space weather ionogram scaling digisonde ionospheric monitoring networks
2015/9/10
The Earth's ionosphere largely determines space weather effects on radio wave communications, navigation and
surveillance systems. Lately there has been an increasing demand for ionospheric nowcast a...
Earthquake forecasting in Italy,before and after Umbria-Marche seismic sequence 1997.A review of the earthquake occurrence modeling at different spatio-temporal-magnitude scales
earthquake forecasting
2015/9/1
The main goal of this work is to review the scientific researches carried out before and after the Umbria-Marche sequence related to the earthquake forecasting/prediction in Italy. In particular, I fo...
Near-Earth space plasma modelling and forecasting
Ionospheric modeling ionospheric forecasting ionospheric predictions
2015/8/28
In the frame of the European COST 296 project (Mitigation of Ionospheric Effects on Radio Systems, MIERS) in the Working Package 1.3, new ionospheric models, prediction and forecasting methods and pro...
The effects of zoning methods on forecasting of the next earthquake occurrences, according to semi-Markov models
Semi-Markov model Transition probability matrix Probabilistic forecasting Deterministic forecasting Forecasting error K94 zoning
2015/8/28
Earthquakes are natural phenomena that can be viewed in three dimensions: time, space and magnitude. Earthquakes can be investigated not only physically, but also mathematically. In this study, semi-M...
The ETAS model for daily forecasting of Italian seismicity in the CSEP experiment
Italian seismicity CSEP experiment
2015/8/28
This study investigates the basic properties of the recent shallow seismicity in Italy, through stochastic modeling and statistical methods. Assuming that earthquakes are the realization of a stochast...
Forecasting Italian seismicity through a spatio-temporal physical model: importance of considering time-dependency and reliability of the forecast
spatio-temporal physical model considering time-dependency
2015/8/28
We apply here a forecasting model to the Italian region for the spatio-temporal distribution of seismicity based on a smoothing Kernel function, Coulomb stress variations, and a rate-and-state frictio...
HAZGRIDX: earthquake forecasting model for ML≥ 5.0 earthquakes in Italy based on spatially smoothed seismicity
earthquakes Italy
2015/8/28
We present a five-year, time-independent, earthquake-forecast model for earthquake magnitudes of 5.0 and greater in Italy using spatially smoothed seismicity data. The model is called HAZGRIDX, and it...
A double-branching model applied to long-term forecasting of Italian seismicity (ML≥5.0) within the CSEP project
Earthquake interactions Forecasting
2015/8/28
The purpose of this study was to apply a double-branching model to forecasting of moderate-to-large Italian seismicity within the Collaboratory Study for Earthquake Predictability project. This projec...
Comment on the report "Operational Earthquake Forecasting" by the International Commission on Earthquake Forecasting for Civil Protection
Comment Critical-systems Earthquake forecasting ICEF Report Operational earthquake forecasting Shear-wave splitting Stress-forecasting
2015/8/24
The recently published report Operational Earthquake Forecasting: State of Knowledge and Guidelines for Utilization by the International Commission on Earthquake Forecasting for Civil Protection (ICEF...
Experimental studies of anomalous radon activity in the Tlamacas Mountain, Popocatepetl Volcano area, México: new tools to study lithosphere-atmosphere coupling for forecasting volcanic and seismic events
atmosphere electricity Litosphere-Atmosphere coupling
2015/8/24
This study presents and discusses the results of soil radon monitoring at three different volcano sites and one reference site, from December 2007 to January 2009. This relates to the activity of the ...
A Forecasting Procedure for Plate Boundary Earthquakes Based on Sequential Data Assimilation
Plate Boundary Earthquakes Sequential Data Assimilation
2015/7/17
A forecasting procedure is proposed for plate boundary earthquakes in subduction zones. It is based on spatio-temporal variation in slip velocity on the plate interface, which causes interplate earthq...
Influence of microphysical schemes on atmospheric water in the Weather Research and Forecasting mod
microphysical schemes atmospheric water
2014/12/18
This study examines how different microphysical
parameterization schemes influence orographically induced
precipitation and the distributions of hydrometeors and water vapour for midlatitude s...
Short-term earthquake forecasting experiment before and during the L’Aquila (central Italy) seismic sequence of April 2009
L’Aquila earthquake ETAS model PPE model Probability forecast
2015/8/18
In this paper, we compare the forecasting performance of several statistical models, which are used to describe the occurrence process of earthquakes in forecasting the short-term earthquake probabili...