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Point and interval forecasts of age-specific life expectancies: A model averaging approach
Booth-Maindonald-Smith method functional data analysis Hyndman-Ullah method Lee-Carter method Lee-Miller method principal components analysis random walk with drift
2014/11/21
Background: Any improvement in the forecast accuracy of life expectancy would be beneficial for policy decision regarding the allocation of current and future resources. In this paper, I revisit some ...
Are the Goals Set by the Millennium Declaration and the Programme of Action of the International Conference on Population and Development within Reach by 2015? (Vie Point)
Population Development 2015
2009/3/26
The risk now is that the benefits of development are increasingly favouring the well-to-do, leading to deepening inequality. Development is for everyone as the Millennium Declaration, makes very clear...