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How does education change the relationship between fertility and age-dependency under environmental constraints? A long-term simulation exercise
aging dependency human capital low fertility optimal fertility
2014/11/26
Background: When asked what a desirable fertility level for populations might be, most politicians, journalists, and even social scientists would say it is around two children per woman, a level that ...
Another 'futile quest'? A simulation study of Yang and Land's Hierarchical Age-Period-Cohort model
age period cohort models identification problem MCMC simulation Yang and Land
2014/11/26
Background: Whilst some argue that a solution to the age-period-cohort (APC) 'identification problem' is impossible, numerous methodological solutions have been proposed, including Yang and Land's Hie...
An application of MCMC simulation in mortality projection for populations with limited data
Bayesian MCMC modelling mortality projection WinBUGS
2014/11/26
Objective: IIn this paper, we investigate the use of Bayesian modeling and Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) simulation, via the software WinBUGS, to project future mortality for populations with limite...
Example for a piecewise constant hazard data simulation in R
Demography event-history analysis hazard function computer simulation
2014/3/21
Computer simulation may help to improve our knowledge about statistics. In event-history analysis, we prefer to use the hazard function instead of the distribution function of the random variable time...
The PROJUSE Simulation Model for Determing Family-Planning Objectives
The PROJUSE Simulation Model Family-Planning Objectives
2009/9/11
The PROJUSE Simulation Model for Determing Family-Planning Objectives.
Simulation of suburban migration：driving forces, socio-economic characteristics, migration behaviour and resulting land-use patterns
suburban migration migration behaviour socio-economic characteristics
2009/3/16
Land-use transitions in metropolitan areas have a high impact on environment and appear as pressures on the inhabitants’ living conditions. Tools are needed to support planning decisions to overcome o...
A simulation-based assessment of the bias produced when using averages from small DHS clusters as contextual variables in multilevel models
average bias clustering contextual DHS measurement error multilevel simulation size small
2008/12/12
There is much interest these days in the importance of community institutions and resources for individual mortality and fertility. DHS data may seem to be a valuable source for such multilevel analys...
Estimating time-varying sex-age-specific o/e rates of marital status transitions in family household projection or simulation
family household marriage projections simulation
2008/12/9
This article presents a procedure for estimating time-varying sex-age-specific occurrence/exposure (o/e) rates of marital status transitions to ensure that the projected life course propensities of ma...